The current boom of the market has strengthened almost all the stocks and the shares that have climbed this boom have left the falling stocks far behind. The difference between them has become the highest in 16 years. The ratio of climbing and falling shares for April 2025 is currently 1.59 which was not seen after May 2009. However, the last ratio of climbing and falling shares this month may be quite different after the remaining six trading sessions and current global fluctuations.
This month, 2,752 shares listed in BSE are trading above their respective levels of March 28 while 1,731 shares are trading below. This shows the strong proportion of the market climbing and falling shares, while most of the markets are being battered by the concern of the global trade war. The ratio of climbing and falling shares after a long -lasting selling since October has improved. The ratio of February went to the lowest level since March 2020.
Equinomics co-founder G. Chokalingam said, “We have seen an intense and widespread decline since September with unprecedented weakness in many stocks.” Return from such levels naturally promotes strong speed in these shares. The benchmark index reached the lowest level on 7 April after June, followed by a sharp change. Since then the Sensex and Nifty have risen by more than 10 percent.
India’s performance in global markets has been excellent. This optimism stems that India’s goods exports to the US are limited and hence it will be saved from global trade turmoil. This item exports to the US is about one percent of GDP. The country’s large economic environment is benefiting from falling oil prices, weak US dollars and interest rates and expectations of deduction.
However, all sectors have contributed to the lead. But banking shares have been at the forefront. The bank Nifty Index has jumped 13 per cent from this month’s low this month due to hopes of improving margin after cuts in deposit rates. The return of FII has also supported this widespread lead.
FPI bought shares worth Rs 14,670 crore last week, causing a long -running selling due to US trade policy concerns and weak income of Indian companies. Short coverings and boom in global equity also contributed to this amidst renewed risks after a discount in American tariffs. President Donald Trump has got 90 days discount on additional tariffs to countries involved in business talks while 10 per cent of the basic import duty has been maintained.
After November 2024, the ratio of climbing and falling shares for the first time in March reached 1.05, and since then it has gained momentum. The stability of the market forward direction and strong will depend on the results of American trade talks and the income season of companies in India.
Chokalingam said, the ratio of the market climbing and falling shares may be reduced as most of the selling levels have been recovered. The further edge will require new indicators. Good monsoon, reduction in inflation and growth of banking sector will be important.
First Published – April 22, 2025 | 10:22 PM IST
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